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Saturday, 24 March 2012

Investing = Stock Picking + Buying Low and Selling High

Posted on 21:37 by Unknown
If you want your portfolio to beat the market over time (generating a better return with less risk), then picking good stocks is just part of the answer. In fact, you don't need to hit home runs by picking the next potential Microsoft or Apple.

You need a trading system that buys low and sells high (Looking for chart patterns is not a way to do it).

Here are 3 reliable ways:

1. Identify a stock that is about to undergo a dramatic shift. This goes beyond studying fundamental data to find good companies. You are also trying to time big moves up or down. This is the hard way to trade because, not only do you need to study the facts, but you have to figure out how the market will respond - not an easy task.

2. Evaluate the stock like a business. You calculate the intrinsic per share value of the company, and compare it to the stock price. Buy when a good company is under valued and sell when the company is overvalued. This is the system that Warren Buffett uses. It requires you to possess a high degree of financial and business knowledge. You also must spend a lot of time doing research. Unless you have an MBA and/or a background as an analyst, it is hard to really get a good edge.

3. Have an automated formula that scales in and out of stocks. This is the method that I use for trading, and I believe it is superior because anyone can use it. You don't need a lot of financial knowledge and time spent in research - only the discipline to stick with the plan.

With this method, you always have a base position in a good company, and increase or decrease the size of your position, depending on the change in the current stock price. Because you are not making a few large trades, errors caused by buying too high or selling too low are self corrected over time.
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